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Scenarios

Pick a question. Fire it. Watch it spread.

Illustrative scenarios — constructed explorations, not model rollouts.

What if the Suez closes?

Container traffic reroutes around the Cape for two weeks. Shipping rates, crude, and the vibe index take the hit first — watch who is next.

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What if the Fed surprises with +50bp?

No forward guidance, dot plot left blank. The curve inverts a bin, the dollar firms, equities argue about it for a week.

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What if the strait gets a quarantine drill?

Traffic held for inspection — the fabs keep running, for now. Semis and shippers move first; the question is how far it spreads.

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What if the crop report misses?

Corn and soy downgraded on one dry month. The report itself is the shock — mild, slow, and it still reaches cattle by week three.

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What if a virus with a stupid name breaks out?

Absurd on purpose. A pure vibe shock — watch how far fear alone travels before the fundamentals shrug it off.

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How it works

Pick a scenario and it opens armed: severity and horizon set, your plates previewed. Fire it and the shock travels the edges outward — country to country, market to market, day by day. Every sensor moves in labeled states (Calm, Stress, Hot, Panic), one bin at a time, so the result reads at a glance. The URL is shareable.

Want to build your own? That's the desktop sandbox. Start on your phone.